HOW LIKELY IS WWIII
TO HAPPEN WITHIN 3 YEARS?
Latest estimate based on current conflict conditions, military-spending trends, official macro data, and a country-by-country game theory conflict prediction model.
High Risk Countries - Results of Game Theory Prediction Model
High-risk areas are not guaranteed points of war onset. These are countries where those in power likely have economic incentives to encourage and participate in war (have reached a "war" threshold). Red markers identify these countries already at "war" threshold in 2026, while yellow markers show additional states estimated to reach the "war" threshold within the next 30 years.
Each marker is a country-level signal. Click a dot and the text will fade into view.
This site is meant to show who the likely actors are and what pressures could tip stability into escalation, so investors, voters, and concerned citizens can be more informed.
It is not a claim of certainty. The goal is to prompt critical thinking about the steps that lead toward war, to encourage smarter financial and social choices, and to get people sharing the insight with others.
The best outcome is that the scenario never comes true — if people recognize these pressure points and act, the model has done its job.